Mediation analysis of the alcohol-postmenopausal breast cancer relationship by sex hormones in the EPIC Cohort
A partir des données de la cohorte européenne EPIC portant sur 430 patientes atteintes d'un cancer du sein et sur 645 témoins, cette étude analyse l'effet d'une consommation d'alcool sur l'association entre les niveaux d'hormones sexuelles circulantes et le risque de développer la maladie après la ménopause
Alcohol consumption is associated with higher risk of breast cancer (BC); however, the biological mechanisms underlying this association are not fully elucidated, particularly the extent to which this relationship is mediated by sex hormone levels. Circulating concentrations of estradiol, testosterone, their free fractions and sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG), were examined in 430 incident BC cases and 645 matched controls among alcohol-consuming postmenopausal women nested within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition. Mediation analysis was applied to assess whether individual hormone levels mediated the relationship between alcohol intake and BC risk. An alcohol-related hormonal signature, obtained by Partial Least Square (PLS) regression, was evaluated as a potential mediator. Total (TE), natural direct (NDE) and natural indirect effects (NIE) were estimated. Alcohol intake was positively associated with overall BC risk and specifically with estrogen receptor positive tumours with respectively TE=1.17(95%CI: 1.01,1.35) and 1.36(1.08,1.70) for a 1-SD deviation increase of intake. There was no evidence of mediation by sex steroids or SHBG separately except for a weak indirect effect through free estradiol where NIE=1.03(1.00,1.06). However, an alcohol-related hormonal signature negatively associated with SHBG and positively with estradiol and testosterone, was associated with BC risk (OR=1.25 (1.07,1.47)) for a 1-SD higher PLS score, and had a statistically significant NIE accounting for a mediated proportion of 24%. There was limited evidence of mediation of the alcohol-BC association by individual sex hormones. However, a hormonal signature, reflecting lower levels of SHBG and higher levels of sex steroids, mediated a substantial proportion of the association. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.